I’m getting most of my news second-hand (and third-hand, really) from the inaugral Maemo Summit, but I hear that it went off reasonably well. What I gathered from Ari Jaaksi’s keynote is essentially that a number of my concerns about Maemo have been addressed.
Going back to my Maemo Diablo post that is to date the second most popular post on my blog, I find that a lot of the things on my checklist are at least being addressed. Without seeing the implementation, I can’t say whether my concerns will be alleviated, but it’s nice to know I’m not the only person who wants to see Maemo succeed. So a quick rundown of what I wanted and what we all got:
- Modest (har har) improvements in email – check.
- Faster browser – sort of inevitable, really.
- Where does Maemo stand in a newly, um, FOSS-ilizing company like Nokia: sort of. I’m still unconvinced Maemo is the future of Nokia, but knowing that this is not just a ten year experiment in FOSS is reasssuring. I would’ve liked to hear more about (and maybe I will as news trickles down in the forums and blog entries) how Maemo fits with the entire FOSS “ecosystem” at Nokia, including the new FOSS Symbian stack and such, but I understand why Nokia may be reluctant to talk medium-term plans.
- Usability – CHECK! Praise the lord and pass the ammunition!
- UI guidelines/UI excellence – even better, Nokia will help offer UX consulting. I could not ask for more.
- Application store – check. However, as good as it is that Nokia is offering such a store, it really needs to move aggressively to make the store work. Just today Android’s App Market went live, and that’s three months after the noisy arrival of the iPhone/iPod Touch App Store. Nokia must also be prepared to: (a) publish clear guidelines on what can and cannot be in their application store, so a Podcaster-like debacle cannot happen on the Maemo platform, no matter how well intentioned; and, (b) be prepared to accept lower revenue than they see Apple and others earning from their stores. The simple fact is that this is an open platform that has so far been marketed towards the technorati who are both more willing to look around for a free alternative and willing to build a free alternative if none exists. Nokia cannot loose interest in the store as it has with Download! for the S60 platform, which, in most cases is a moribund pit of piddling links to carrier-specific crap.
In addition, Nokia seems to be dedicating significant resources in making the platform faster, both from a hardware perspective (hello OMAP3, how nice to meet you!) and a software perspective (Upstart, GSTOpenMax, even OHM). There’s also a substantial improvement in store for the multimedia component of Maemo which has been more than a little weak; I prefer to use the term “brutally non-existent”, personally.
Finally, while HSPA is welcomed with open arms, it also makes it harder for me to decide what to do with Maemo. Maemo sits at an uneasy border: it is under assault from the portability side by Nokia’s own ever improving S60 and other superphones* like the iPhone; on the other side – power and functionality – the Intel juggernaut is shrinking the Atom ever faster and bringing the gift of a full, x86-compatible OS down into the same price range and package size. Heck, the Nokia N810 officially retails for more than my brand new and much adored Atom-based Acer Aspire One does, and I have way more functionality in a package that is only about twice the size. So I’m a little confused what the future is for Maemo (going back to my first point about where Maemo sits in the FOSS-adopting Nokia world).
HSPA (and the other improvements, like high-res cameras and better screens) means that in a sense, Maemo is going towards the superphone category. There it faces some entrenched competition: RIM’s BlackBerry, Apple’s iPhone, Google’s Android, Windows Mobile and, of course, Nokia’s own S60, and increasingly, Series 40 platforms. Quite aside from whether Nokia is ready for a potential civil war between its Maemo and Symbian divisions, time is short for Maemo to be in that market as a major competitor.
It remains to be seen what the future of Maemo is. For me, though, I suspect this is the end of my Maemo line. I loved – and still do adore – my spunky little N800. However, given the coming processor switch and the need for new hardware, unless Maemo 5 makes it back to the N800, I will not be buying a Maemo 5 device. For me, and I fear many others, the calculation looks a lot like this:
- Buy a Maemo 5 device for about $400. I duplicate the functionality of my phone with the HSPA, but I don’t gain the ability to run a full x86 OS.
- Buy an Atom-powered netbook for about $400. I don’t duplicate the functionality of my phone, and I get the ability to run a full x86 OS – like Windows.
Given these choices, it’s pretty much a no-brainer: you go with the Atom-powered notebook. If the Maemo 5 device was cheaper (say, $200), then it’d be a much harder decision, but given the history of Maemo, that is unlikely. One last option is that Nokia sees Maemo 5 as a media device. As a media device, especially one that is advertised as being able to browse the web, it might yet be a device worth the money. Cram it with 32-64GB of memory, give it a decidedly media-centric feel (including dedicated play/pause buttons), the ability to download music and movies on the go (no bloody tethering needed) and Nokia could go head to head with the likes of SanDisk, Microsoft and Archos. At the very least, it would shake up the market, since as beloved as Apple is, Nokia is a much, much bigger brand in most of the world.
So: better clarity what the future of Maemo is in the short to medium term. Long-term however, I’m still scared for the platform that has travelled nearly a quarter of a million miles with me around the globe.
*: A superphone = a phone that can be conceivably used without needing to be teethered to install apps. I’m aware of the music limitations on the iPhone, and quite frankly, that’s data and not applications. The App Store works perfectly over EDGE or WiFi.